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AETOS艾拓思:美指高位盘整,非美颓势暂缓

11月18日 11:04| 发布者: 陈燕| 查看: 1665| 评论: 0

摘要: GBPUSD(1.5643,0.0004,0.03%)  英镑(1.5643,0.0004,0.03%)空头昨日再度获得利好,卡尼和霍尔丹已经明确表示会关注超低通胀率风险。卡尼警告称,英国的贸易伙伴和就业市场持续存在的闲置产能带来“巨大的通胀放 ...
GBPUSD(1.5643,0.0004,0.03%)

  英镑(1.5643,0.0004,0.03%)空头昨日再度获得利好,卡尼和霍尔丹已经明确表示会关注超低通胀率风险。卡尼警告称,英国的贸易伙伴和就业市场持续存在的闲置产能带来“巨大的通胀放缓压力”。这些消息扶助英镑(1.5643,0.0004,0.03%)兑一篮子货币跌至两个月低位。英镑兑美元(1.5643,0.0004,0.03%)跌至1.5650美元,距离周五触及的14个月低位1.5593美元不远。从英镑(1.5643,0.0004,0.03%)周线图上来看,此前61.8%的回调线在被破位后,已从支撑位转而成为目前英镑的上方阻力位,而下方支撑目前则是着眼于前低。短期内英镑上方阻力关注:1.5748,下方支撑:1.5590。

  EURUSD(1.2465,0.0017,0.14%)

  欧洲央行官员昨日表示,将于本周开始购买ABS,这也是由于目前欧元(1.2465,0.0017,0.14%)区经济复苏丧失动能,需要注入大规模流动性来产生经济效应。尽管经济刺激的举措即将开始,欧元(1.2465,0.0017,0.14%)区的经济复苏预计仍需要较长一段时间才能见到成效,所以中长期角度来看,欧元(1.2465,0.0017,0.14%)依然看空。从图形上来看,欧元(1.2465,0.0017,0.14%)在最后一浪下跌结束后迎来短暂回调,但此次回调下方动能不足,并不足以支持欧元越过23.6%的回调线,如果欧元再次尝试回踩23.6%回调失败,那么短期即可转而看空。上方阻力:1.2500,下方支撑:1.2415。

  AUDUSD(0.8712,0.0004,0.05%)

  尽管昨日中澳签订颇为全面的自贸协定,但澳元(0.8712,0.0004,0.05%)并没有因此受到提振。从澳元(0.8712,0.0004,0.05%)4小时图形上可以看到,在上升回调遭遇到61.8%的分水岭线后,澳元(0.8712,0.0004,0.05%)缺乏转势的基本面和动能,在稍微踩线后随即下跌至50%回调线以下。在基本面较为冷清的周内,澳元(0.8712,0.0004,0.05%)在50%回调线附近震荡的可能性很大。短期内上方阻力:0.8740,下方支撑:0.8680。

  USDJPY(116.62,0.007,0.01%)

  昨日上午日本发布了最新的GDP数据,实际值出人意料的远低于预期。但在分项指标上,日元(116.62,0.007,0.01%)外需较前次有所增加,也使得日元(116.62,0.007,0.01%)在GDP不佳的情况下,有所增值,美日在4小时图形上也收出一根阴线。此后由于市场将关注重点重新放回到GDP数据,美日也是补回了此前的跌幅,一路攀升至116.60。在日本经济数据不佳和美国经济复苏的大背景下,美日依然被市场看多。短期内日元(116.62,0.007,0.01%)上方阻力:116.80,下方支撑:116.00。 

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